The article outlines Week 1 NFL prediction market prices, highlighting key quarterbacks Kyler Murray, Caleb Williams, and Bryce Young as focal points for the Vikings, Bears, and Panthers respectively
Training camp opened with four, and potentially five, NFL quarterback competitions. In the end, all five jobs went to the older of the two primary contenders. The first decision came in Minnesota, where Kyler Murray prevailed over 2024 top-10 selection J.J. McCarthy in the first competition to be resolved, before the first preseason game. The backup job there also has apparently gone to the older player, with Carson Wentz seemingly leapfrogging McCarthy. (The Vikings have yet to release their Week 1 depth chart.) Minnesota will enter the season with three former high first-round picks in their quarterback room. Murray was No. 1 overall in 2019, and Wentz was the second overall pick in 2016. The next decision was made by the Browns, where Deshaun Watson was made the starter (at least for Week 1 and likely Week 2) two weeks ago today, over 2025 fifth-rounder Shedeur Sanders. Watson was the 12th overall pick in 2017. Last week, the Raiders finally declared that Kirk Cousins, who entered the league as a fourth-round pick in 2012, would start Week 1 over Fernando Mendoza, the No. 1 overall pick in 2026. And now the Falcons have gone with Tua Tagovailoa, pick No. 5 in 2020, over Michael Penix Jr., the eighth overall selection in 2024. That one feels even more tenuous than Watson in Cleveland; the Falcons were hoping Penix would be ready to go. Ultimately, they decided he wasn’t — and Tua got the nod over Cooper Rush (who’s technically older than Tua). The fifth competition never became one, because Jacoby Brissett got a new deal done before a hold in gave Gardner Minshew or Carson Beck a chance to learn the new offense and potentially supplant Brissett. In many situations, winning the starting job to start the season means securing the privilege of eventually being benched. That’s a very real possibility for Watson, Cousins, and Tagovailoa. The safest of them all is Murray, who was likely signed to be the starter — and who is playing for a team that wants to have the same quarterback in place for all 17 regular-season games
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kyler Murray has a much stronger group of pass-catchers around him after his final season in Arizona fell apart. A foot injury limited Murray to five games in 2025, but Minnesota named him the starter on Aug. 11 after his competition with J.J. McCarthy. The job comes with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and Jauan Jennings at receiver, plus T.J. Hockenson at tight end. Jefferson was full-go throughout camp and started clicking with Murray late in the summer, while Jennings arrives after piling up 1,618 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons. Murray has already shown what his rushing can add when healthy. In 2024, he threw for 3,851 yards and 21 touchdowns while running for another 572 yards and five scores. He enters September at QB19 in RotoBaller's updated rankings, so fantasy managers aren't paying for a full rebound yet. Durability is still the concern, but this Minnesota group gives Murray plenty of room to beat that price
A heated NFC North rivalry is set to renew when the Minnesota Vikings host the Green Bay Packers in NFL Week 1. The Packers lead the all-time series against the Vikings 67-61-3, but Minnesota has won six of the past 10 meetings overall. The Vikings are coming off a 9-8 campaign in 2025 and will now turn to quarterback Kyler Murray to lead the offense. Kalshi, one of the largest NFL prediction markets , prices the Vikings at $0.53 per share to beat the Packers at home, while Green Bay is trading at $0.47 per share. All of the updated Week 1 NFL prediction market prices are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL trading advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now. Trade $25 and get up to a $500 bonus here with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS : The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 1 on a 47-32 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks on NFL prediction markets and prediction market apps could have seen strong returns. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL prediction market prices and locked in predictions for every NFL matchup. Trade on the NFL here with the Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS and get a $50 bonus after a $10 deposit: Two teams that won their respective divisions are set to square off when the Carolina Panthers host the Chicago Bears in Week 1. The Bears are coming off a season in which they finished 11-6 under their first-year head coach Ben Johnson. Quarterback Caleb Williams played well in his first season under Johnson, finishing with 3,942 passing yards, 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Williams finished the year throwing two or more touchdowns in eight of his final nine contests, which includes two playoff games. Meanwhile, the Panthers topped the NFC South despite posting an 8-9 record. Panthers QB Bryce Young is coming off his best season as a professional, throwing for 3,011 yards and 23 touchdowns. Wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan was extremely effective for the Panthers in his rookie campaign, hauling in 70 receptions for 1,014 yards and seven scores. The SportsLine Projection Model has Chicago winning this matchup on the road by a score of 27-23. Kalshi prices the Bears at $0.58 per share to win, while the Panthers are trading at $0.42 per share to win. Claim the latest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS when you sign up for Kalshi here : Two bitter rivals will collide when the Minnesota Vikings host the Green Bay Packers for an NFC North clash at 4:25 p.m. ET. Minnesota has had the upper hand over its rivals in recent years, winning three of the past four meetings with Green Bay. The Vikings are coming off a disappointing 9-8 campaign, which included a 4-4 record. Minnesota's offense averaged just 275 yards per game last season, which is why the Vikings signed former No. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray this offseason. The Packers finished the 2025 campaign with a 9-7-1 record, losing to the Bears in the NFL Wild Card round. Head coach Matt LaFleur will look to lean on running back Josh Jacobs, who racked up 13 rushing touchdowns in 2025. Jacobs has now scored 12 or more rushing touchdowns in three of his past four seasons, but SportsLine's model is projecting Minnesota's defense to hold Jacobs to just 3.4 yards per carry on Sunday. The SportsLine Projection Model is calling for the Vikings to walk away with a 22-20 victory at home over Green Bay. Minnesota to win is trading at $0.53 per share, while the Packers are trading at $0.47 per share to beat the Vikings. Claim the latest Underdog Predict promo code here and register with the Underdog promo code CBS : Game Price Trade Now Patriots vs. Seahawks SEA $0.65, NE $0.45 Trade at Kalshi 49ers vs. Rams LA $0.64, SF $0.36 Trade at Polymarket Saints vs. Lions DET $0.73, NO $0.27 Trade at Underdog Buccaneers vs.
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Murray played six snaps during Minnesota's three-game preseason slate. After completing two of his three pass attempts for 10 yards against the Giants in the preseason opener, Murray took a seat and parked it for the remainder of the exhibition season. Coach Kevin O'Connell settled on Murray as the Vikings' starter before training camp, and he's expected to have a long leash under center this season after J.J. McCarthy continued to look overmatched throughout the 2025 campaign. Murray has big upside in this quarterback-friendly scheme and has arguably the best supporting cast of his career. He's an ideal late-round fantasy target at quarterback
The Raiders naming Kirk Cousins their starting quarterback to open the 2026 season was hardly a surprise. While Las Vegas had been projected to draft Fernando Mendoza at No. 1 overall for months, the team’s brass had said publicly that its preference was for a rookie quarterback to sit and learn behind a veteran. But now that it’s official, Mendoza has become a member of a rare group of quarterbacks from recent years. Mendoza is the first quarterback since Baker Mayfield in 2018 not to start Week 1 after being selected at No. 1 overall. Mayfield’s situation was not particularly unusual at the time, as Jared Goff had been through the same thing in 2016. But since then, Kyler Murray (2019), Joe Burrow (2020), Trevor Lawrence (2021), Bryce Young (2023), Caleb Williams (2024), and Cam Ward (2025) have all been their respective club’s Week 1 starter after being selected at No. 1 overall. Since Matthew Stafford was selected at No. 1 overall in 2009, only Goff, Mayfield, and Mendoza have started the season as QB2. Sam Bradford (2010), Cam Newton (2011), Andrew Luck (2012), and Jameis Winston (2015) all started the season opener. Mayfield made it into a game by Week 3, taking over for an injured Tyrod Taylor to lead the Browns to their first victory since 2016 with a 21-17 victory over the Jets. He took over as Cleveland’s starter the following week. It took longer for Goff to ascend to QB1 for the Rams in 2016, as he began his tenure as Los Angeles’ starter in Week 11 with a 14-10 loss to Miami. Mendoza’s development will remain a priority for the Raiders, even as he won’t receive starters’ reps in the regular season. “ Early work, late work. More meetings ,” Kubiak said on Wednesday. “Plenty of time on the field between drills with [QBs] coach [Mike] Sullivan and [offensive coordinator] coach [Andrew] Janocko. Every player that is not starting the first game, that is helping us on the look team, we’re just trying to find every edge we can find to continue to get him better and his teammates better.” Aside from those selected at No. 1 overall, there are plenty of QBs who haven’t started early and ended up being successful. “I think there are so many examples both ways,” Kubiak said. “I think the most important thing with the quarterback room or any other position is to build competition within the room. That makes players so much better faster than coaching, when they have a guy in front of them that they can look up to and see how something’s done — that’s going to accelerate their growth.” We’ll see when Mendoza becomes Las Vegas’ starter. If Cousins plays well and the Raiders are winning, that might not be until 2027. But history suggests Mendoza will be on the field sooner or later as a rookie
Quarterback Max Brosmer has cleared waivers and will return to the Minnesota Vikings on their practice squad after being waived on Monday. He played in seven games with two starts as a rookie last year
The SportsLine Projection Model is advising against picking the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, despite them being moneyline favorites against the New York Giants. The model, which has a strong track record, suggests fading the Cowboys and highlights the difficulty of Week 1 survivor picks due to a lack of in-season data and several divisional matchups