NFL's most overrated quarterbacks revealed, plus ranking every first-round draft pick since 2020
Hello football friends, and welcome to the Thursday edition of the Pick Six newsletter! I hope you enjoy the next four days of your life, because starting Tuesday, football will be everywhere. That's July 28, and it's a magic date in the NFL this year because it's when 26 of the 32 teams report to training camp. The other six teams have either already started training camp ( Cardinals , Panthers ) or will be starting this weekend ( Rams , 49ers , Seahawks , Patriots ). That means all 32 teams will be in camp by Tuesday. This is the weekend to tell your family you love them and that you'll see them in February, but before you do, make sure you sign them up for this newsletter . Anyway, we've got a lot to get to today, so let's get to the rundown. If you're a Bears or Broncos fan who needs something to get mad about this weekend, Garrett Podell has you covered. Garrett put together a list of the most overrated quarterbacks in the NFL right now, and let's just say, there's a good chance that Garrett is going to be getting a lot of angry messages from fans in Denver and Chicago over the next few days. Let's check out the top two names on Garrett's list of overrated quarterbacks. OVERRATED If you want to see Podell's full list of overrated quarterbacks, you can do so here (in that same story, he also listed a few underrated quarterbacks, so be sure to check it out). There have been 191 first-round picks made so far this decade, and the only reason I know that is that Mike Renner decided to rank EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEM this week. This ranking starts with the 2020 NFL Draft and goes through the 2025 draft (Renner didn't include the 2026 draft since we haven't seen those players on the field yet). Let's take a look at the top five first-rounders since 2020: 1. Bengals QB Joe Burrow (No. 1 overall in 2020) 2. Patriots QB Drake Maye (Third overall in 2024) 3. Vikings WR Justin Jefferson (22nd overall in 2020) 4. Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (20th overall in 2023) 5. Packers QB Jordan Love (26th overall in 2020) Six of the top 10 players came from the 2020 draft, so it's pretty clear that the first class of the decade was pretty strong. Now that you know the top first-rounders, let's check out the bottom five. 187. Colts QB Anthony Richardson (Fourth overall in 2023) 188. Titans OT Isaiah Wilson (29th overall in 2020) 189. Lions CB Jeff Okudah (Third overall in 2020) 190. Jets QB Zach Wilson (Second overall in 2021) 191. 49ers QB Trey Lance (Third overall in 2021) Wilson and Lance are likely going to go down as two of the biggest busts of all time. If you have some time to burn today, then I highly suggest you read Renner's full list of all 191 players here . With training camps kicking off around the NFL, Deebo Samuel still doesn't have a team to play for. The former Pro Bowler spent last season with the Commanders , but he's now a free agent. Samuel has hit the age (30) where most receivers start to slow down, but he doesn't think that's going to happen to him. As a matter of fact, Samuel seems to think he has a few years left in the tank. "I'm going on Year 8 … I still feel like I got a lot, at least like three, four good years left," Samuel said. With that in mind, Jordan Dajani decided to come up with a few potential landing spots for Samuel and here are two of his more intriguing options: Dajani came up with five landing spots, and you can see his full list here . With the reigning NFL MVP (Matthew Stafford) and the reigning defensive player of the year ( Myles Garrett ) on their team, the Rams are currently the overwhelming favorite to win Super Bowl LXI. As a matter of fact, the Rams are an unprecedented favorite to win the Super Bowl this year. Let's check out the top five favorites along with their odds: 1. Rams (+550) 2. Bills (+1000) 3. Ravens (+1100) 4. Seahawks (+1200) T-5. Chiefs (+1600) T-5. Chargers (+1600) As you'll notice, the Rams are the only team this year with odds under +1000. Since the N [... truncated ...]
