Defining success for NFL's seven biggest Super Bowl longshots, including Raiders, Jets and Titans
What does a successful season look like for these Super Bowl longshots? Las Vegas has been handicapping the upcoming season since the prior concluded in February and, through Super Bowl odds, expressed how it perceives each team. Seven teams held +10000 odds or worse. Unfortunately, four of those teams were on last year's list, too. The following is in order from shortest to longest odds: Tennessee enters the second year with quarterback Cam Ward and the first year with coach Robert Saleh. At the bare minimum, the objective should be not to be on this list next year. A success would be feeling good about the Ward-Saleh pairing heading into 2027. The Titans spent heavily, particularly on the defensive side of the ball ($125 million total guaranteed). It may take some time for that group to come together, but the hope is that they adopt Saleh's hard-nosed demeanor. If all goes as planned, the franchise will be tasked with replacing pieces of the operation next offseason rather than the operation itself, positioning them to take a big leap within the AFC South. The vibes around the Falcons are not great, but few can boast the collection of elite offensive skill talent -- wide receiver Drake London , running back Bijan Robinson and tight end Kyle Pitts -- assembled in Atlanta. The best possible outcome would be having clarity on Michael Penix Jr. , one way or another, entering the offseason. If Penix is fully healthy and establishes himself as an investment-caliber quarterback, it would allow them to funnel resources elsewhere. Alternatively, if neither Tua Tagovailoa nor Penix inspires confidence, it would open the door for the team to go in another direction at the position. In either scenario, the Falcons would be staring down a full season from edge rushers James Pearce Jr . and Jalon Walker , as well as the hope that a new quarterback brings. Atlanta will have the most salary cap space by a wide margin this offseason, according to Spotrac. Las Vegas' best possible outlook boils down to the success of No. 1 overall selection Fernando Mendoza and first-year coach Klint Kubiak. Despite Kirk Cousins being named the Week 1 starter, Mendoza must see the field this season and showcase the skill set that enabled him to be drafted so early, which in turn creates optimism as the 2027 campaign begins. Beyond Mendoza, the Raiders bringing in another supreme talent with an early draft pick as part of the long-term vision would be another step in the right direction. Las Vegas ranks among the top-10 in projected salary cap space as well. The Browns had arguably the best rookie class a year ago, and the early returns on the 2026 draft class have been promising as well. The limitations at quarterback have capped the potential of this season, but they have positioned themselves well to bring in that player next offseason through the trade of Myles Garrett . In an ideal world, Cleveland would be feeling good about the collection of offensive rookie talent -- offensive tackle Spencer Fano and wide receivers Denzel Boston , KC Concepcion -- after the season, while simultaneously being in position to draft its quarterback of choice in 2027. In each of the past two years, the franchise has been in the top six overall of a one-quarterback draft, but failed to secure that player. It is important to note that the 2027 season would be the first without quarterback Deshaun Watson on the roster since 2021. New York is the most difficult to project because what is best for the franchise is not what is best for the coaching staff. Aaron Glenn knows his job is on the line and will be desperate for wins. Too many wins, however, could conceivably put a potential franchise quarterback outside of the organization's reach. They have three first-round picks to move up if another team is willing to deal, but what if it is like the 2024 NFL Draft, where every team in the top three overall selected a quarterback, and there was no other option? Could th [... truncated ...]